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OLED for IT, Will Ship 48.8 million Units by 2027 With an Annual Average Growth Rate of 39%

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According to the “2022 Mid-Large OLED Display Semi-Annual Report” recently published by UBI Research, shipments of OLED for IT such as tablet PCs, monitors, and laptops are expected to reach 48.8 million units by 2027 with an annual average growth rate of 39% from 9.5 million units in 2022.

According to the report, the OLED market for IT is expected to be led by laptops by 2024 and OLED for tablet PCs and laptops are expected to lead the market from 2025, as OLED for tablet PCs begin mass production in 2024.

OLED Shipment Forecast for IT Source : 2022 Mid-Large OLED Display Semi-Annual Report

OLED Shipment Forecast for IT Source : 2022 Mid-Large OLED Display Semi-Annual Report

In addition, as Apple plans to adopt OLEDs for some iPad series, Korean and Chinese panel companies are expected to invest in OLED lines for IT. Samsung Display, LG Display, and BOE are planning to invest in new 8.7th generation lines and Visionox recently ordered vertical vapor deposition machines for R&D on the V3 line, which is the sixth generation line.

Samsung Display and LG Display are expected to invest faster in the 8.7th generation line than Chinese panel makers, while BOE and Visionox are expected to invest after Korean companies’ investment.

▶ 2022 Mid-Large OLED Display Semi-Annual Report Sample Download 

Is China’s 6G flexible OLED line reorganized?

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According to the ‘2022 OLED Display Semi-Annual Report’ recently published by UBI Research, it is predicted that the 6G flexible OLED line in China will be reorganized.

Representative companies that produce flexible OLED for smartphones in China are BOE, TCL CSOT, Tianma, and Visionox. EDO also owns some flexible OLED lines, but is mass-producing panels mainly for rigid OLED.

Among them, TCL CSOT and Visionox have recently continued to business difficulties, the possibility of reorganization of its flexible OLED line in China is being raised.

TCL CSOT mainly supplied panels to Xiaomi, but recently, due to panel performance issues and Tianma’s promotion, it was found that the 3Q utilization rate of the T4 line with a monthly capacity of 45K was only 10%.

In particular, the operation of ph-3 is being delayed indefinitely due to the low utilization rate of ph-1,2. In addition, TCL CSOT has tried to promote the panel supply for the Apple iPhone series, but it does not seem to get good results.

Utilization rate of TCL CSOT T4 line until August 2022, Source: 2022 OLED Display Semi-Annual Report

Utilization rate of TCL CSOT T4 line until August 2022, Source: 2022 OLED Display Semi-Annual Report

Visionox, which mainly supplies flexible OLED to Honor, has recently been operating the V3 line with a monthly scale of 30K, but the panel price is set at $30 or less, and its sales are greatly affected. It is a situation in which the utilization rate is guaranteed by securing a clear customer, but profits are not guaranteed.

For this reason, there is a possibility that BOE will take over the T4 line of TCL CSOT and the V3 line of Visionox. Daejeong Yoon, an analyst at UBI Research, said, “In the case of the T4 line, if BOE puts OLED facilities into the B20 LTPS line in the future, the possibility of taking over the T4 line of TCL CSOT and using it, or after the sale of the V3 line from Visionox, there is a possibility to acquire a part of the T4 line. In the case of the V3 line, it is also heard that the Hefei government has offered to acquire BOE.”

Although it is unlikely that China’s 6G flexible OLED line will change rapidly right now, attention is focused on how Chinese panel makers will continue to operate their lines in the future in a situation that has been evaluated as over-investment in the past and the market stagnation.

▶ 2022 Small OLED Display Semi-Annual Report Sample Download