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OLED materials and components market for mobile devices is expected to grow by US$16.73 billion in 2027 with an average annual growth rate of 4.6%

OLED materials and components market for mobile devices

OLED materials and components market for mobile devices

According to UBI Research’s ‘4Q22 AMOLED Materials and Components Market Track’, which predicts 19 major components such as TFT, encapsulation, touch sensor, adhesive, and cover window, the mobile device materials market is expected to grow by US$13.91 billion by 2023, with an average annual growth rate of US$16.73 billion.

It is predicted that the market for flexible OLED materials, including foldable OLEDs, will continue to maintain more than 80% of the market and reach more than 90% from 2025. The Rigid OLED material market is expected to fall by 13.5% annually from US$1.89 billion in 2023, reaching US$1.07 billion by 2027. This is because Samsung Display’s rigid OLED shipments, which are the majority of rigid OLED shipments, are expected to continue to decline from 130 million units in 2023.

The materials market for flexible OLEDs and foldable OLEDs is expected to reach US$15.66 billion by 2027 with an annual growth rate of 7% from US$12.02 billion in 2023. This figure reflects 80 million units of Samsung Display’s expected shipment of foldable OLEDs in 2027.

By country, Korea’s materials purchases are expected to continue to show more than 50% of the market share. Korea’s purchases of major materials are expected to reach US$8.79 billion by 2027 with an annual average growth rate of 3.2 percent from US$7.5 billion in 2023. China’s purchases of major materials are expected to reach US$7.94 billion in 2027 with an annual average growth rate of 6.2%.

▶4Q22 AMOLED Materials and Components Market Track

Shipments of Medium and Large OLEDs Over 10 inches Will Expand to 69.5 Million Units by 2027

According to the “4Q22 Medium & Large OLED Display Market Track,” which combines the performance and prospects of OLEDs over 10 inches at UBI Research, medium and large OLEDs are expected to expand from 26.1 million in 2022 to 69.5 million in 2027.

It is predicted that OLED for TVs will lead the mid- to large-sized OLED market based on sales by 2027. Due to the global economic downturn, expected shipments in the future decreased from the previous quarter, but a total of 14.8 million units are expected to be shipped in 2027 at an annual average growth rate of 11.2%, recording sales of $9.18 billion. This is 62.8% of the total sales of medium and large OLEDs in 2027.

It is expected that OLED markets for IT such as laptop, tablet PC, and monitor will gradually bloom from 2024. The OLED market for IT is expected to be led by OLED for laptop, and 19.7 million units are expected to be shipped by 2027 with an annual average growth rate of 22.9%. In 2024, Apple’s OLED for iPads will be released in full-scale, and OLED markets for tablet PCs will expand. Although OLED shipments for tablet PCs are expected to be 2 million units in 2023, they are expected to be 7.2 million units in 2024 and 23.3 million units in 2027. The average annual growth rate from 2023 is 85.7%.

OLED for vehicles is also expected to grow at an annual average rate of 54.7% from 2022, and the market is expected to continue to expand.

Shipment ratio forecast by application

Shipment ratio forecast by application

▶ 4Q22 Medium & Large OLED Display Market Track Sample Download

Rigid OLEDs for Smartphones are Expected to Fall 12.9% Annually to 96 Million Units by 2027

According to the “4Q22 Small OLED Display Market Track” published quarterly by UBI Research, global shipments of rigid OLEDs for smartphones are expected to continue to decline.

Since the second half of 2022, shipments of rigid OLEDs for smartphones by Samsung Display have decreased significantly, and 19 million units were shipped in the third quarter, less than half of the same quarter last year. This trend continues in the fourth quarter, and Samsung Display’s shipments of rigid OLEDs for smartphones are expected to fall 20.8% annually from 2022 and reach only 50 million units by 2027.  Global shipments of rigid OLEDs for smartphones are expected to drop 12.9% annually to 96 million units by 2027.

On the other hand, shipments of flexible OLEDs for smartphones are expected to continue to increase at an annual growth rate of 7.4% from 2022. UBI Research predicts that Samsung Display will ship 220 billion flexible OLEDs in 2027 with an annual average growth rate of 2.2%, and BOE will ship 140 billion flexible OLEDs in 2027 with an annual average growth rate of 13%.

It is expected that global foldable OLED shipments will continue to expand. Global shipments of foldable OLEDs are expected to be 19 million units by 2022 and 90 million units by 2027. Samsung Display is leading the global foldable OLED market in the future, and it is expected to account for 89.1% of global foldable OLED shipments by 2027

The market share of foldable OLEDs is low at 2.7% in 2022 among small OLED markets under 10 inches, but it is expected to expand to 9.6% in 2027 and have a similar share to that of rigid OLEDs.

Rigid OLED shipment forecast for mobile device

Rigid OLED shipment forecast for mobile device

▶ 4Q22 Small OLED Display Market Track Sample Download

$3.55 Billion in OLED Components & Material the Second Quarter of This Year, Down 7.9% from the Previous Quarter

According to “3Q22 OLED Components & Material Market Track” published quarterly by UBI Research, the market for major Components & Material in the second quarter of 2022 was estimated to be $3.55 billion. It fell 7.9% from the previous quarter and rose 8.9% from the same quarter last year. The main reason why the market for Components & Material decreased in the second quarter compared to the previous quarter is that shipments of flexible OLED panels of Samsung Display, BOE, and LG Display decreased.

Samsung Display, BOE, and LG Display’s flexible OLED shipments in the second quarter of 2022 were analyzed to be 43.5 million units, 14.1 million units, and 5.7 million units, respectively. This is a drop of 17.3%, 29.9%, and 40.6%compared to the previous quarter. It was analyzed that Driver IC&COF formed a market of $1.77 billion in the second quarter of 2022, process films formed a market of $63.2 million, and OCA formed a market of $52.4 million.

OLED components & materials market in the second quarter of 2022

OLED components & materials market in the second quarter of 2022

The markets for major parts and materials of OLED are divided into countries (Korea and China) and the expected markets until 2026 are shown as cumulative graphs based on 100%.

OLED components and materials main market

OLED components and materials main market

Chinese panel manufacturers’ purchases of Components & Material are expected to increase by 2.5% annually from $6.11 billion in 2022 to $6.76 billion in 2026, while Korean panel manufacturers are expected to purchase materials in the amount of $9.99 billion in 2026 at an annual average growth rate of 2.1%, from $9.09 billion in 2022.

Based on the purchase amount of Components & Material, Samsung Display is expected to account for 40% over the next five years, and LG Display and BOE are expected to account for 20% and 17%, respectively. Among Chinese panel manufacturers, it is predicted that material purchases will be high in the order of BOE, Visionox, TCL CSOT, and Tianma.

“3Q22 OLED Components & Material Market Track” selected 20 major OLED parts material manufacturers and conducted market research. The quarterly market was investigated by dividing it into eight categories: Substrate, TFT, Encapsulation, Touch Sensor, Polarizer, Adhesive, Cover Window, and Module, and market share was analyzed by company and application (TV, Mobile). In addition, the supply volume and market for each component material by 2026 were predicted. The Market Track Quarterly Report provides necessary information to industry leaders in OLED industries.

▶ 3Q22 OLED Components & Materials Market Track Sample Download

Shipments of Medium and Large OLED Displays in 2022 is Expected to be 26.3 Million Units

According to “3Q22 Medium & Large OLED Display Market Track” published quarterly by UBI Research, the medium and large OLED display market for the second quarter of 2022 was estimated at $1.67 billion. Medium and large OLED displays mean displays that are 10 inches or more.

In the second quarter of 2022, OLED medium to large-sized display markets rose 22.9% compared to the previous quarter and increased 11.2% compared to the same quarter last year. OLED for laptops is the largest increase in medium to large-sized OLED shipments. Shipments in the first quarter were 1.14 million units, but shipments in the second quarter were 2.18 million units, about twice that of the previous quarter.

As the war in Ukraine continues to extend, the premium TV market is being hit hard in Europe. Estimated shipments of OLED panels for TVs in 2022 were 9.2 million units in the last quarter, but revised shipments were 9.1 million units. Shipment of OLED TVs in the second quarter increased by 250,000 units from 1.71 million units in the first quarter to 1.96 million units. Of these, shipments of WRGB OLED panels are 1.71 million units and QD-OLED TV panels are 250,000 units.

Medium and Large OLED Display Market(2Q 2022)

Medium and Large OLED Display Market(2Q 2022)

As Samsung Electronics plans to increase sales of QD-OLED TVs to 1 million units next year, shipments of OLED TVs for TVs are expected to increase to 12 million units by 2023. LG Display is expected to convert its P7 and P8 lines into OLED lines to gradually reduce its LCD panel business, which is deteriorating profitability, and increase OLED production.

Medium and large OLED displays are categorized into application products (TV, Tablet, Notebook, Monitor, and Automotive), and the estimated shipments to 2027 are shown as a 100% cumulative graph.

Medium and Large OLED Display shipments and forecasts

Medium and Large OLED Display shipments and forecasts

It is estimated that shipments of medium and large OLED displays will increase to 26.3 million units in 2022 and 84.2 million units in 2027. Apple expects Tablet shipments to increase sharply after 2024 as the iPad is expected to be released in 2024.

“3Q22 Medium & Large OLED Display Market Track” surveyed the current status of OLED production capacity for medium and large OLED displays over 10 inches, quarterly shipments and sales performance for major product lines such as Automotive, Note PC, Monitor, and TV by major panel manufacturers. It will also provide data on market forecast analysis of 5 years to 2027, such as ASP and OLED demand/supply analysis by application.

▶ 3Q22 Medium and Large OLED Display Market Track Sample Download

Small OLED Display Shipments in 2022 Are Expected to Reach 724.8 Million Units

According to “3Q22 Small OLED Display Market Track” published quarterly by UBI Research, the market for small OLED displays in the second quarter of 2022 was estimated at $7.87 billion.

In the second quarter of 2022, the OLED small display market decreased by 16% compared to the previous quarter and increased by 9.7% compared to the same quarter last year. The Chinese market, the world’s largest market, has shrunk mobile devices shipment as Shanghai and some regions were quarantined due to COVID-19.

As a result, shipments of small OLED panels decreased from 150 million units in the first quarter to 130 million units in the second quarter. Although shipments of foldable OLED panels in the second quarter increased by 120,000 units from the first quarter to 3.12 million units, the market size fell short of expectations.

Small OLED market in 2Q 2022

Small OLED market in 2Q 2022

As some Chinese panel manufacturers are offering OLED panels for Smartphones below $30 recently, the rigid OLED market is expected to shrink rapidly.

It is predicted that shipments of foldable OLEDs will increase 6.1 million units from 10.3 million units last year to 16.4 million units this year. Although foldable phones are expected to replace Samsung Electronics’ Galaxy Note, there is no additional demand. In addition, it is predicted that the growth rate of foldable OLED markets will not be fast, due to Chinese panel manufacturers’ difficulty in purchasing UTGs for foldable OLEDs and it is affecting Chinese smartphone manufacturers’ production. In 2027, OLED shipments for foldable phones were significantly revised to 42 million units.

Small OLED display shipments by application (Watch, Smartphone, Foldable Phone) and the estimated shipments by 2027 are shown as a 100% cumulative graph.

Small OLED Shipments and Forecasts in 2Q 2022

Small OLED Shipments and Forecasts in 2Q 2022

Total shipments of small OLED display panels are expected to be 724.8 million units in 2022, and it is estimated that it will reach 937.8 million units in 2027. The proportion of foldable phones by application product in 2022 is 2.3% and is expected to increase to 4.5% by 2027.

“3Q22 Small OLED Display Market Track” analyzed OLED production capacity status for small OLED displays below 10 inches, and surveyed quarterly sales and shipments of major products sorted by major panel manufacturers, countries, generations, substrates, TFT technologies, and application products(Watch, Smartphone, Foldable phone). It analyzes ASP and OLED demand/supply by application and provides data on market prospects of small OLED displays from next 5 years to 2027.

▶ 3Q22 Small OLED Display Market Track Sample Download

2Q22 OLED Light-Emitting Material Market $4.12 billion, up 7.8% from the Same Quarter Last Year

According to the “3Q22 OLED Emitting Material Market Track” published quarterly by UBI Research, purchases of OLED light-emitting materials in the second quarter of 2022 amounted to $4.12 billion.

In the second quarter of 2022, the OLED light-emitting material market decreased by 2.1% compared to the previous quarter and increased by 7.8% compared to the same quarter last year. Overall, there was a decrease in panel shipments of Samsung Display and LG Display due to the off-season, but sales did not decrease significantly from the previous quarter due to rising exchange rates and the supply of new materials.

In the small OLED panel market, Samsung Display’s second-quarter purchase of light-emitting materials fell 2.2 % from the previous quarter to $1.52 billion, BOE fell 11.7% to $53.1 million, and LG Display fell 12.6% from the previous quarter to $39.7 million.

For OLED TVs, LG Display’s second-quarter purchase of light-emitting materials was $77.3 million, similar to the previous quarter, while Samsung Display’s purchase of materials for TVs was $28.3 million, up slightly from the previous quarter.

2Q 2022 OLED Emitting Materials Market

2Q 2022 OLED Emitting Materials Market

Sales of OLED light-emitting materials for each quarter were classified by layer, and the expected sales until 2026 were expressed as a 100% cumulative graph.

Sales and the market share Forecast by OLED method

Sales and the market share Forecast by OLED method

The OLED light-emitting material market is predicted to be $1.81 billion in 2022 and $2.5 billion in 2026. As shipments of WRGB OLEDs are expected to exceed 20 million units in 2026, purchases of light-emitting materials for WRGB OLEDs are expected to reach $900 million in 2026 from $4.3 billion in 2022. As the RGB 2stack market for IT grows, it is expected to reach $53.4 million in 2024 and $190 million in 2026.

Sales of luminescent layer and common layer were investigated to identify the overall market of light-emitting materials, and performance was analyzed by dividing them into countries, panel companies, applied products, layers, and OLED methods (RGB, WRGB, and QD-OLED). In addition, OLED market information up to 2026 was predicted by predicting the usage and sales of light-emitting materials by each company over the next five years. The Market Track Quarterly Report provides necessary information to industry workers who lead OLED industries.

▶ 3Q22 OLED Emitting Material Market Track Sample Download

1Q of 2022 OLED Emitting Material Market $420 million, up 9% Compared to the Same Quarter of the Previous Year

According to “2Q22 OLED Emitting Material Market Track”, a quarterly report published by UBI Research, the sales of emitting materials in the first quarter were $421 million, down 21.1% (QoQ) from $533 million in the previous quarter but was an increase by 9% (YoY)when compared to $386 million in the first quarter of 2021.
Although sales of emitting materials for TV and mobile devices decreased compared to the previous quarter, IT sales recorded a meaningful figure of $6.6 million. Although sales fluctuate depending on seasonal demand for applied products, if the sales of emitting materials are analyzed by application product, TV use is gradually increasing.

The top 3 companies in 1Q sales were UDC($86.6 million), DuPont($41.3 million), and Duksan($37.5 million). Duksan became the number one company in sales as a Korean company. The overall sales of luminescent materials in the first quarter decreased compared to the previous quarter but only UDC’s sales increased. Sales decreased to $421.5 million in 1Q22 from $533.8 million in 4Q21. However, UDC’s 1Q22 sales increased to $86.6 million from 4Q21’s sales of $85.5 million. It is estimated that this is due to the rise in the price of rare earth metals, a key material for manufacturing dopant.
Estimated sales of emitting materials in 2022 are $1.77 billion and are expected to grow to $2.4 billion in 2026.
By application product, the projected sales of emitting materials for smartphones this year are $1.4 billion, accounting for 79% of the total.
Of the projected sales in 2026, emitting materials for TV are expected to reach $550 million, which is expected to increase by 23%. In addition, emitting materials for IT are expected to account for 9% of $210 million.

“OLED Emitting Material Market Track” surveys and analyzes the market for quarterly OLED emitting materials. The total market of light emitting materials was identified by examining sales by light emitting layer and common layer. Performance analysis was categorized by country, panel maker, application product, layer, and OLED method (RGB, WRGB, QD-OLED). In addition, OLED market information for the next five years (up to 2026) was forecasted by predicting the amount of emitting material usage and sales by company. The quarterly market track provides necessary information to industry professionals who lead the OLED industry.

AMOLED Display Market Track, just issued – Market Performance, Market Forecast, ASP, Supply and Demand Analysis

According to the market performance data of the AMOLED Display Market Track published by UBI Research in February 2018, total AMOLED shipments and sales in 2017 were recorded as 440 million units and US$ 27.1 billion, up 13.6% and 62.3% respectively, compared to the previous year.

The number of AMOLED smart phone shipments grew to 95.1% in the total AMOLED market in 2017, and its market share for the revenue was 89.7%. The number of shipments of flexible AMOLEDs reached 140 million units in 2017, increased by 2.1 times compared to the previous year.  Analysis shows that shipments of flexible AMOLEDs will reach 230 million units by 2018, with a share of 46%.

AMOLED shipments for TVs grew by 1.8 times YoY to 1.72 million units in 2017, and the AMOLED market for TV is expected to continue to grow, as LG Display’s 8 G plant in China is scheduled to start operation from 2H 2019.

<Overall AMOLED Market Forecast>

From 2018, AMOLED market is forecasted to change significantly.

In terms of supply, shipments of displays are projected to decline compared to the global capacity of display makers due to the accelerated increase in the size of AMOLED panels and Samsung Display’s shift of rigid AMOLED lines into automotive and foldable applications.

In terms of demand, the demand growth for AMOLED panels for smartphones is expected to decrease. In 2018, demand for flexible AMOLED panels for Chinese set makers is expected to decrease due to the introduction of low-priced full screen LCDs and rising prices of flexible AMOLED panels.

According to the market forecast data of AMOLED Display Market Track, the total AMOLED shipment market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 17.5%, reaching 995 million units in 2022. The revenue is projected to grow at a CAGR of 22%, forming a market of US$ 80.5 billion in 2022.

<Small and Medium sized AMOLED, Supply and Demand Analysis>

According to Yi Choong-Hoon, CEO of UBI Research, “20% oversupply is expected to occur by 2021, however, since then, panel prices have fallen due to the entry of Chinese panel makers into the flexible AMOLED market, and oversupply will decrease by 11% in 2022 “.

Meanwhile, AMOLED Display Market Track, which was published on February 12, 2018, covers AMOLED market performance and forecast by quarter, year and application. It also provides data and graphs analyzed in various aspects such as ASP and supply & demand analysis.

AMOLED Display Market track – Investment & MP Line Status, just published

According to the investment trend data from AMOLED Display Market Track published by UBI research, the net area capacity of AMOLED production worldwide is expected to grow at a CAGR of 48% from 2018 to 2020.

As a result of analyzing the glass area based on the overall equipment capacity, the net area capacity of AMOLED mass production was 13 million square meters in 2017, and it is expected to grow more than three times to 40 million square meters in 2020.

The net area capacity of AMOLED mass production area is projected to grow from 4 million square meters in 2017 to 8.4 million square meters in 2020, and that of small and medium-sized AMOLED is to be increased about 3.5 times from 9.1 million square meters in 2017 to 32 million square meters in 2020.

Analysis shows that LG Display’s net area capacity will be increased by 6.9 million square meters from 2018 to 2020, followed by Samsung Display with 5.8 million square meters increase and BOE with 4.4 million square meters increase.

On the other hand, when compared to the net area capacity for small and medium-sized AMOLED, Samsung Display is expected to increase by 5.8 million square meters, with the largest investment, followed by BOE of 4 million square meters’ increase and LG Display of 2.9 million square meters increase.

<Net area capacity of AMOLED mass production by company>

According to Lee Choong Hoon, CEO of UBI Research, LG Display’s AMOLED mass production line investment in China will lead LGD to more than double BOE’s AMOLED production capacity in terms of net area capacity in 2020, however, BOE is expected to overtake LG Display at small and medium-sized panel capacity in 2019.

AMOLED Display Market Track consists of investment data, market performance, market forecast, ASP, cost analysis, competitiveness analysis and so on. The investment data in this report contains details of the investment history of the panel companies, current status, and investment prospects for the next three years. Also, the useful data and graphs analyzed in various aspects are provided in excel format.