[Press Release] AMOLED sales to reach USD 32.2 billion in 2019, up 13.8% from 2018

UBI Research (CEO, Yi, Choonghoon) published the annual OLED report in 2019.

According to the report, the OLED market is expected to reach $ 32.2 billion in 2019 and 13.8% market growth. The market growth is due to the launch of a variety of applications in 2019. Foldable OLED will accelerate the growth of the flexible OLED market as a convergence product that fuses smartphones and tablet PCs, and 8K OLEDs and rollable OLEDs to be launched from 2H 2019 will further solidly support the premium OLED TV market. In addition, an increase in flexible OLED shipments due to improved yields by Chinese panel makers will support growth in the Chinese OLED market.

AMOLED revenue in the fourth quarter of 2018 was $ 7.9 billion, down 3.7% from $ 8.2 billion in the third quarter and down 10.4% from $ 8.8 billion in the fourth quarter of 2017. The quarterly OLED market was highly volatile due to sales fluctuations at Samsung Display.

Revenue in 2018 was $ 28.3 billion, up 7.1% from $ 26.4 billion in 2017. The growth slowed suddenly compared to growth of 58.7% in 2017. The sluggish growth is attributable to the sluggish OLED smartphone market, which drove the OLED market up until now. The OLED market for smartphones, which was worth $ 24.2 billion in 2017, was only $ 24.5 billion in 2018.

Flexible OLED panels are not being adopted in mid-end smartphones due to the high cost of manufacturing flexible OLED panels for smartphones. As a result, the oversupply will continue due to lack of demand compared to the 6G flexible OLED investment. In the fourth quarter of 2018, there was an oversupply of 31%. In the first quarter of 2019, oversupply will increase to 39% by overlapping seasonal demand decline.

AMOLED Panel Market, to Reach US$ 46 Billion by 2020

2014 was the year preparing a platform to develop the OLED industry in full scale.

 There was a prevalent doubt in the industry until 2014 concerning whether the OLED TV is able to break into the market or not. However, as LG Electronics successfully released the UHD OLED TV, the set manufactures were classified with the companies against LG and incapable of producing the OLED TV. Under this circumstance, the majority of TV set manufacturers including Samsung Electronics exhibited the Quantum dot (QD) BLU LCD TV at CES2015. The night view screen which was the exhibition concept only appeared on the OLED TV was employed on the QD LCD TV chasing the high contrast ratio just like the OLED TV.

In the display for a mobile device, the OLED succeeded in establishing an exclusive market with G Flex2 and Galaxy Note Edge with emphasis on the flexibility feature that LCD cannot even attempt to imitate.

According to the ‘’2015 OLED Display Annual Report’’ published by UBI Research on the 10th, the total revenue has decreased by 4% compared to the previous year due to the AMOLED panel shipments cut resulting from the low sales of Galaxy S5 in 2014.


Is the OLED industry already in crisis?

Though the OLED industry got wet with rain for a while in 2014, it will begin to solidify its place in 2015. Flexible OLED and TV are the alternatives.

UBI Research methodically analyzed and took a close look at the future of flexible OLED on the ‘’2015 OLED Display Annual Report’’. There are a number of display manufacturers developing products in view of that the rollable display is the final stage of a flexible display. But if the rollable display is to be applied on a mobile device, the cultural components are to go back to the analog age and in terms of technology, it may cause a heating problem as all parts excluding the display are concentrated on the body. For that reason, UBI Research prospected that the rollable product will be used on a large movable screen type display rather than on a mobile device.

150211_AMOLED Panel Market, to Reach US$ 46 Billion by 2020


Also the ‘’2015 OLED Display Annual Report” of UBI Research forecasts that the AMOLED panel market will grow at a CAGR of 30% reaching US$ 46 billion by 2020. Assuming the OLED panel for TV and tablet PC will take the sales share of 30% respectively in 2020, the report predicted that the key application for the OLED panel market will be a TV and a tablet PC following a smart phone.

The growth of AMOLED panel market is anticipated to accelerated after 2017 given that Chinese manufactures are also likely to invest in full scale between 2016 and 2017 to previse the Korea’s monopoly of AMOLED market.

150211_AMOLED Panel Market, to Reach US$ 46 Billion by 2020_그래프


<AMOLED Panel Market Prospect>

AMOLED panel 시장, 2020년 US$ 46 Billion 시장 형성

2014년은 OLED 산업이 본격적으로 성장하기 위해 발판을 마련하는 한 해였다.


2014년 까지는 OLED TV가 시장에 진입할 수 있을 것인지에 대한 의문이 지배적이었다. 그러나 LG전자가 성공적으로 UHD OLED TV를 시장에 출하하자 OLED TV를 만들 수 없는 업체들과 LG의 경쟁 구도로 세트 업체들이 분리되었다. 이러한 분위기는 CES2015에서 삼성전자를 비롯한 대다수의 TV 세트 메이커가 Quantum dot(QD) BLU LCD TV를 전시하였다. 이전에는 자발광 OLED TV에서만 다루는 전시 컨셉인 야경 화면을 QD LCD TV가 보여주며 OLED TV처럼 고명암비 따라 가기를 시작했다.

모바일 용 디스플레이에서 OLED는 flexbile 특성을 살린 G Flex2와 Galaxy Note Edge로서 LCD가 절대로 넘볼 수 없는 독자적인 시장 구축에 성공했다.

하지만 10일 유비산업리서치에서 발간한 ‘’2015 OLED Display Annual Report’’ 에 따르면 2014년 Galaxy S5의 판매 저조로 인한 AMOLED panel 출하량 감소로 전체 매출액은 작년 대비 4% 감소한 것으로 나타났다.


OLED 산업에 벌써 위기가 찾아 오나?

OLED 산업은 2014년 잠시 비를 맞았지만 2015년은 확실히 땅 굳히기에 들어간다. Flexible OLED와 TV가 대안이다.

유비산업리서치의 ‘’2015 OLED Display Annual Report’’에서는 flexible OLED의 미래를 정밀히 분석하여 조망하였다. 디스플레이 업계에서는 flexible display의 마지막 단계를 Rollable display로 생각하고 제품을 개발하는 업체들이 다수 있다. 그러나 Rollable display가 모바일 기기에 사용될 경우에는 문화적 요소는 오히려 아날로그 시대로 역행하게 되며, 기술적으로는 display를 제외한 본체에 각종 부품이 집약되어 있어 발열 문제 등이 야기될 수 있다. 유비산업리서치는 Rollable 제품은 모바일 기기 보다는 Roll 형태로 운반할 수 있는 스크린 타입의 대형 디스플레이에 적용될 것으로 조망했다.

Flexible Display Generation


유비산업리서치의 ‘’2015 OLED Display Annual Report’는 flexbile OLED 탑재smart기기와 OLED TV에 의해 AMOLED panel 시장은 연평균 성장률 30%로 성장하여 2020년에는 US$ 46 billion의 규모가 될 것으로 전망하였다. 보고서에서는 2020년에 TV와 tablet PC용 OLED panel 매출액 점유율이 각각 30%를 차지할 것으로 전망하여, 앞으로 TV와 tablet PC가 smart phone에 이어 OLED panel 시장의 핵심 application이 될 것으로 예상하였다.

중국업체들 역시 한국 독주의 AMOLED 시장을 견제하기 위해 2016년에서 2017년에 본격적인 투자가 시작될 것으로 예상하고 있어 2017년 이후는 AMOLED 패널 시장 성장이 가속화될 것으로 전망하고 있다.

  <AMOLED panel 시장 전망>