유비산업리서치, 55인치 이상 OLED TV 패널 시장 전망치 약 20~30% 낮춰

55inch LG OLED TV

강현주 / jjoo@olednet.com

유비산업리서치가 2016~2020년까지 55인치 이상  OLED TV 패널 출하량이 당초 전망치보다 약 20~30% 가량 줄어들 것으로 내다봤다.

이는 65인치 이상 TV 시장이 커지고 있는 것을 감안한 것이다.

올해 초 유비산업리서치는 55인치 이상 OLED 패널의 글로벌 출하량이 2016년 120만개,  2020년에는 810만개까지 성장할 것으로 전망했다.

하지만 마더글래스 당 생산량이 적은 65인치 패널 양산 비중이 높아지면서 전망치를 20~30%로 하향했다. 이에 따라 2016년 약 80~90만개, 2020년 약 600만개 안팎이 될 것으로 예상했다.

이는 LG디스플레이의 대형 OLED 패널 양산라인인 파주의 E3, E4 공장을 기준으로 산정한 수치다.

E3 공장은 55인치 패널 생산 위주로 가동된다. E4 공장 역시 55인치 생산 비중이 높지만 65인치 패널도 동시에 양산한다.

현재 대형 TV는 55인치가 주류지만 65인치 TV 시장도 빠르게 성장 중이다. 이에 LG디스플레이는 65인치 패널의 비중을 늘리고 있다.

유비산업리서치의 시장조사 결과 LG디스플레이는 2016년 2분기 약 2만8000개의 65인치 OLED 패널을 출하했다. 이는 전분기 대비 약 2배 늘어난 수치다.

E4 라인의 Gen8 마더글래스 한장 당 55인치 OLED 패널은 6장이 만들어지지만 65인치 패널은 3장이 나온다.

LG디스플레이가 65인치의 비중을 늘릴수록 같은 기간 생산량은 줄어든다는 얘기다. 이를 감안하면 55인치 이상 OLED 패널 출하량이 약 20~30% 낮아질 것이라는 게 유비산업리서치의 전망이다.

한편 또 다른 시장조사 업체 IHS도 얼마전 글로벌 OLED TV 시장 전망치를 32% 하향했다. 이에 따라 올해 약 83만대, 2020년 580만대가 될 것으로 내다봤다.

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