2016년 AMOLED 시장, UBI 148억달러 vs IHS 150억달러 전망…어쨌든 고속성장

2016~2020 AMOLED Market (Source = UBI Research)

강현주 기자 / jjoo@olednet.com

2016년 글로벌 AMOLED 시장이 150억달러(한화 약 17조 670억원) 규모를 형성할 것이라는 전망이 나왔다.

1일 시장조사업체 IHS에 따르면 2016년 글로벌 AMOLED 시장은 전년대비 25% 상승한 150억달러에 달할 것으로 예상된다. 그동안 OLED의 문제였던 낮은 수율, 수명 등의 문제들이 개선되고 있으며 VR 등 새로운 시장이 점차 커질 것이라는 게 IHS의 분석이다.

IHS의 이 같은 예상은 유비산업리서치의 전망치인 148억달러(한화 약 와 비교했을 때 유사한 수치다.

유비산업리서치가 발간한 ‘2016 OLED Display Annual Report’에 따르면 글로벌 AMOLED 시장은 올해 148억달러를 형성하고 이후 2020까지 연평균 49%의 고성장을 지속해나갈 전망이다. TV용 OLED 패널과 모바일용 플렉서블 OLED 패널의 본격적인 양산과 후발업체들의 양산시작으로 고성장을 그릴 것이라는 예상이다.

두 시장조사업체 모두 스마트폰과 TV용 OLED 패널의 높은 성장을 예견했다.

IHS는 올해 전체 스마트폰 시장에서 OLED폰 비중은 작년보다 4%P 증가한 21%까지 상승할 것으로 관측했다. 또 OLED TV 패널 출하량은 작년보다 125% 성장한 90만대 이상이 될 것으로 예상했다.

유비산업리서치의 경우 올해 OLED 패널 시장에서 스마트폰용인 4~6인치 패널 출하량이 2억4천290만개가 될 것으로 내다봤다. 이와 함께 TV용인 55인치 이상 대형 패널은 120만개가 출하될 것으로 전망했다.

한편 AMOLED의 이 같은 고성장은 한국이 이끌어가고 있다. 유비산업리서치의 ‘2016 OLED Display Annual Report’에 따르면 2016년 한국에서 생산될 AMOLED 패널의 양은 약 2억7천만개로 전세계 출하량의 약 95%를 차지할 것으로 예상된다. 이 시장 매출액 역시 한국이 2016년 미화 142억1800만달러로 전체시장의 96%를 차지할 전망이다.

 

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